On the Prediction of Emerging Market Sovereign Credit Spreads
(2015)
Journal Article
Audzeyeva, A., & Fuertes, A. (2015). On the Prediction of Emerging Market Sovereign Credit Spreads. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2649216
This paper examines the quarter-ahead out-of-sample predictability of Brazil, Mexico, the Philippines and Turkey credit spreads before and after the Lehman Brothers' default. A model based on the country-specific credit spread curve factors predicts... Read More about On the Prediction of Emerging Market Sovereign Credit Spreads.