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Development and external validation of the eFalls tool: a multivariable prediction model for the risk of ED attendance or hospitalisation with a fall or fracture in older adults. (2024)
Journal Article
Archer, L., Relton, S. D., Akbari, A., Best, K., Bucknall, M., Conroy, S., …investigators, T. E. (2024). Development and external validation of the eFalls tool: a multivariable prediction model for the risk of ED attendance or hospitalisation with a fall or fracture in older adults. Age and ageing, 53(3), Article afae057. https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afae057

Falls are common in older adults and can devastate personal independence through injury such as fracture and fear of future falls. Methods to identify people for falls prevention interventions are currently limited, with high risks of bias in publish... Read More about Development and external validation of the eFalls tool: a multivariable prediction model for the risk of ED attendance or hospitalisation with a fall or fracture in older adults..

Demographic, health, physical activity, and workplace factors are associated with lower healthy working life expectancy and life expectancy at age 50 (2024)
Journal Article
Lynch, M., Bucknall, M., Jagger, C., Kingston, A., & Wilkie, R. (2024). Demographic, health, physical activity, and workplace factors are associated with lower healthy working life expectancy and life expectancy at age 50. Scientific Reports, 14(1), Article 5936. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-53095-z

Although retirement ages are rising in the United Kingdom and other countries, the average number of years people in England can expect to spend both healthy and work from age 50 (Healthy Working Life Expectancy; HWLE) is less than the number of year... Read More about Demographic, health, physical activity, and workplace factors are associated with lower healthy working life expectancy and life expectancy at age 50.

2004 How confident are we in decision making? The quantitative analysis of ambulance response to older adult fallers: A pilot survey (2024)
Journal Article
Gunson, I., Bullock, L., Kingstone, T., & Bucknall, M. (2024). 2004 How confident are we in decision making? The quantitative analysis of ambulance response to older adult fallers: A pilot survey. Age and ageing, 53(Supplement_1), https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afad246.096

Introduction The number one reason for older people to be taken to hospital emergency departments is a fall1. An “Ambulance Improvement Programme Pillar”2 is trying to reduce conveyance to hospital for falls, however it is not understood how the atte... Read More about 2004 How confident are we in decision making? The quantitative analysis of ambulance response to older adult fallers: A pilot survey.

2005 How do emergency ambulance clinicians decide what to do for older adults who have fallen? An analysis of qualitative survey data (2024)
Journal Article
Gunson, I., Bullock, L., Kingstone, T., & Bucknall, M. (2024). 2005 How do emergency ambulance clinicians decide what to do for older adults who have fallen? An analysis of qualitative survey data. Age and ageing, 53(Supplement_1), Article afad246.098. https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afad246.098

Introduction Around 10% of calls received by English ambulance services are for older adults who have fallen1; with an ageing population there are significant care provision needs. Decision-making on the treatment for people who fall, can impact thei... Read More about 2005 How do emergency ambulance clinicians decide what to do for older adults who have fallen? An analysis of qualitative survey data.

Chest wall reconstruction reduces hospital mortality following major chest wall trauma: a retrospective cohort study (2023)
Journal Article
Cheruvu, M., Chubsey, R., Blagojevic-Bucknall, M., & Satur, C. (2023). Chest wall reconstruction reduces hospital mortality following major chest wall trauma: a retrospective cohort study. The Annals of The Royal College of Surgeons of England, 105(6), 489-500. https://doi.org/10.1308/rcsann.2022.0155

Introduction
Chest wall reconstruction was introduced for the management of patients with severe chest wall injuries. We undertook a retrospective cohort study to investigate whether the treatment was associated with improved survival compared with... Read More about Chest wall reconstruction reduces hospital mortality following major chest wall trauma: a retrospective cohort study.

Symptom patterns and life with post-acute COVID-19 in children aged 8-17: a mixed methods studyprotocol. (2023)
Journal Article
Faux-Nightingale, A., Burton, C., Twohig, H., Bucknall, M., Carroll, W., Chew-Graham, C., …Welsh, V. (2023). Symptom patterns and life with post-acute COVID-19 in children aged 8-17: a mixed methods studyprotocol. British Journal of General Practice Open (BJGP Open), 7(2), Article BJGPO20220149. https://doi.org/10.3399/bjgpo.2022.0149

Background: While there is a substantial body of knowledge about acute COVID-19, less is known about long-COVID, where symptoms continue beyond 4 weeks.

Aim: To describe longer-term effects of COVID-19 infection in children and young people (CYP)... Read More about Symptom patterns and life with post-acute COVID-19 in children aged 8-17: a mixed methods studyprotocol..

Diabetes as a risk factor for the onset of frozen shoulder: a systematic review and meta-analysis (2023)
Journal Article
Dyer, B. P., Rathod-Mistry, T., Burton, C., Van Der Windt, D., & Bucknall, M. (2023). Diabetes as a risk factor for the onset of frozen shoulder: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Open, 13(1), Article e062377. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062377

Objective: Summarise longitudinal observational studies to determine whether diabetes (types 1 and 2) is a risk factor for frozen shoulder.

Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Data sources: MEDLINE, Embase, AMED, PsycINFO, Web of Scien... Read More about Diabetes as a risk factor for the onset of frozen shoulder: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Factors associated with change in health-related quality of life in people with gout: a 3-year prospective cohort study in primary care (2022)
Journal Article
Watson, L., Belcher, J., Nicholls, E., Chandratre, P., Blagojevic-Bucknall, M., Hider, S., …Roddy, E. (2022). Factors associated with change in health-related quality of life in people with gout: a 3-year prospective cohort study in primary care. Rheumatology, 62(8), 2748-2756. https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/keac706

Objective To describe factors associated with change in health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in people living with gout in primary care. Methods In a UK prospective cohort study, adults with a diagnosis of gout registered with 20 general practices... Read More about Factors associated with change in health-related quality of life in people with gout: a 3-year prospective cohort study in primary care.

Evaluating the long-term effect of allopurinol use in gout using marginal structural models: A primary care electronic health records study (2022)
Presentation / Conference
Rathod-Mistry, T., Roddy, E., Jordan, K., Mallen, C., & Blagojevic-Bucknall, M. (2022, August). Evaluating the long-term effect of allopurinol use in gout using marginal structural models: A primary care electronic health records study

Background: Allopurinol is intended to be taken for life in the treatment of gout. In UK primary care, treatment is suboptimal with up to 30% of indicated patients being treated within five years of diagnosis and once prescribed allopurinol, treatmen... Read More about Evaluating the long-term effect of allopurinol use in gout using marginal structural models: A primary care electronic health records study.

The effectiveness of corticosteroid injection versus night splints for carpal tunnel syndrome: 24-month follow-up of a randomized trial (2022)
Journal Article
Burton, C., Rathod-Mistry, T., Blackburn, S., Blagojevic-Bucknall, M., Bucknall, M., Chesterton, L., …Roddy, E. (2023). The effectiveness of corticosteroid injection versus night splints for carpal tunnel syndrome: 24-month follow-up of a randomized trial. Rheumatology, 62(2), 546–554. https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/keac219

Objectives
This follow-up study of the INSTinCTS (INjection vs SplinTing in Carpal Tunnel Syndrome) trial compared the effects of corticosteroid injection (CSI) and night splinting (NS) for the initial management of mild-to-moderate carpal tunnel sy... Read More about The effectiveness of corticosteroid injection versus night splints for carpal tunnel syndrome: 24-month follow-up of a randomized trial.

Healthy working life expectancy at age 50 for people with and without osteoarthritis in local and national English populations (2022)
Journal Article
Lynch, M., Bucknall, M., Jagger, C., & Wilkie, R. (2022). Healthy working life expectancy at age 50 for people with and without osteoarthritis in local and national English populations. Scientific reports, 12(1), Article 2408. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-06490-3

Retirement ages are rising in many countries to offset the challenges of population ageing, but osteoarthritis is an age-associated disease that is becoming more prevalent and may limit capacity to work until older ages. We aimed to assess the impact... Read More about Healthy working life expectancy at age 50 for people with and without osteoarthritis in local and national English populations.

Projections of healthy working life expectancy in England to the year 2035 (2022)
Journal Article
Wilkie, Bucknall, & Lynch. (2022). Projections of healthy working life expectancy in England to the year 2035. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43587-021-00161-0

UK state pension age is rising in response to life expectancy gains but population health and job opportunities may not be sufficient to achieve extended working lives1,2,3. This study aimed to estimate future trends in healthy working life expectanc... Read More about Projections of healthy working life expectancy in England to the year 2035.

Long-term clinical and socio-economic outcomes following wrist fracture: A systematic review and meta-analysis (2021)
Journal Article
Babatunde, O., Bucknall, M., Burton, C., Forsyth, J. J., Corp, N., Gwilym, S., …Van Der Windt, D. (2021). Long-term clinical and socio-economic outcomes following wrist fracture: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Osteoporosis International, 33, 753–782. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00198-021-06214-9

Purpose: To summarise and appraise evidence on the prognosis and long-term clinical and socio-economic outcomes following wrist fracture among adults aged 50 years and over.

Methods: Five databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, AMED, CINAHL-P and PsycINFO) we... Read More about Long-term clinical and socio-economic outcomes following wrist fracture: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Identifying Long-Term Trajectories of Foot Pain Severity and Potential Prognostic Factors: A Population-Based Cohort Study (2021)
Journal Article
Marshall, M., Bucknall, M., Rathod‐Mistry, T., Thomas, M. J., Edwards, J. J., Peat, G., …Roddy, E. (2023). Identifying Long-Term Trajectories of Foot Pain Severity and Potential Prognostic Factors: A Population-Based Cohort Study. Arthritis Care and Research, 75(5), 1123-1131. https://doi.org/10.1002/acr.24823

OBJECTIVES: To identify distinct foot pain trajectories over seven years and examine their associations with potential prognostic factors. METHODS: Adults aged =50?years registered with four general practices in North Staffordshire, UK were mailed a... Read More about Identifying Long-Term Trajectories of Foot Pain Severity and Potential Prognostic Factors: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Predicting pain and function outcomes in people consulting with shoulder pain: the PANDA-S clinical cohort and qualitative study protocol (2021)
Journal Article
Wynne-Jones, G., Myers, H., Hall, A., Littlewood, C., Hennings, S., Saunders, B., …van der Windt, D. (2021). Predicting pain and function outcomes in people consulting with shoulder pain: the PANDA-S clinical cohort and qualitative study protocol. BMJ Open, 11(9), Article e052758. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-052758

INTRODUCTION: People presenting with shoulder pain considered to be of musculoskeletal origin is common in primary care but diagnosing the cause of the pain is contentious, leading to uncertainty in management. To inform optimal primary care for pati... Read More about Predicting pain and function outcomes in people consulting with shoulder pain: the PANDA-S clinical cohort and qualitative study protocol.

Diabetes as a Prognostic Factor in Frozen Shoulder: A Systematic Review. (2021)
Journal Article
Dyer, B. P., Burton, C., Rathod-Mistry, T., Bucknall, M., & Van Der Windt, D. (2021). Diabetes as a Prognostic Factor in Frozen Shoulder: A Systematic Review. Archives of Rehabilitation Research and Clinical Translation, 100141 - ?. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.arrct.2021.100141

Objective: To summarize evidence from longitudinal observational studies to determine whether diabetes (types 1 and 2) is associated with the course of symptoms in people with frozen shoulder. Data Sources: A systematic literature search of 11 biblio... Read More about Diabetes as a Prognostic Factor in Frozen Shoulder: A Systematic Review..

The XGTDL family of survival distributions (2021)
Journal Article
Bucknall. (2021). The XGTDL family of survival distributions. Japanese Journal of Statistics and Data Science, https://doi.org/10.1007/s42081-021-00129-9

<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title><jats:p>Non-PH parametric survival modelling is developed within the framework of the multiple logistic function. The family considered comprises three basic models: (a) a PH model, (b) an accelerated life model and (... Read More about The XGTDL family of survival distributions.

OP0259-HPR THE EFFECT OF OSTEOARTHRITIS ON HEALTHY WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY AT AGE 50 IN ENGLAND (2021)
Journal Article
Lynch, M., Bucknall, M., Jagger, C., & Wilkie, R. (2021). OP0259-HPR THE EFFECT OF OSTEOARTHRITIS ON HEALTHY WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY AT AGE 50 IN ENGLAND. Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, 80(Suppl 1), 158.2-158. https://doi.org/10.1136/annrheumdis-2021-eular.2349

Retirement ages are rising in many countries due to population ageing and increasing life expectancy. However, poor health, comorbidity and workplace factors are major reasons for work absence and it is unclear if people in later working-age life (ag... Read More about OP0259-HPR THE EFFECT OF OSTEOARTHRITIS ON HEALTHY WORKING LIFE EXPECTANCY AT AGE 50 IN ENGLAND.

Corrigendum to Health-related quality of life in gout in primary care: Baseline findings from a cohort study Seminars in Arthritis & Rheumatism, 48 (2018) 61-69. (2021)
Journal Article
Chandratre, P., Mallen, C., Richardson, J., Muller, S., Hider, S., Rome, K., …Roddy, E. (2022). Corrigendum to Health-related quality of life in gout in primary care: Baseline findings from a cohort study Seminars in Arthritis & Rheumatism, 48 (2018) 61-69. Seminars in Arthritis and Rheumatism, 52, Article 151800. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.semarthrit.2021.02.009

Corrigendum