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Tropical forcing of increased Southern Ocean climate variability revealed by a 140-year subantarctic temperature reconstruction

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Abstract

Occupying about 14% of the world's surface, the Southern Ocean plays a fundamental role in ocean and atmosphere circulation, carbon cycling and Antarctic ice-sheet dynamics. Unfortunately, high interannual variability and a dearth of instrumental observations before the 1950s limits our understanding of how marine–atmosphere–ice domains interact on multi-decadal timescales and the impact of anthropogenic forcing. Here we integrate climate-sensitive tree growth with ocean and atmospheric observations on southwest Pacific subantarctic islands that lie at the boundary of polar and subtropical climates (52–54°S). Our annually resolved temperature reconstruction captures regional change since the 1870s and demonstrates a significant increase in variability from the 1940s, a phenomenon predating the observational record. Climate reanalysis and modelling show a parallel change in tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures that generate an atmospheric Rossby wave train which propagates across a large part of the Southern Hemisphere during the austral spring and summer. Our results suggest that modern observed high interannual variability was established across the mid-twentieth century, and that the influence of contemporary equatorial Pacific temperatures may now be a permanent feature across the mid- to high latitudes.

Citation

(2017). Tropical forcing of increased Southern Ocean climate variability revealed by a 140-year subantarctic temperature reconstruction. Climate of the Past, 231 - 248. https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-231-2017

Acceptance Date Feb 15, 2017
Publication Date Mar 15, 2017
Journal Climate of the Past
Print ISSN 1814-9324
Publisher European Geosciences Union (EGU)
Pages 231 - 248
DOI https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-13-231-2017
Publisher URL https://www.clim-past.net/13/231/2017/

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