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Professor Kathryn Dunn's Outputs (122)

Primary Care and Linked Secondary Care Encounters for Foot and Ankle Problems in Children and Young People: A Population‐Based Cohort Study in England (2025)
Journal Article
Rezel‐Potts, E., Bowen, C., Dunn, K. M., Jones, C. I., Gulliford, M. C., & Morrison, S. C. (2025). Primary Care and Linked Secondary Care Encounters for Foot and Ankle Problems in Children and Young People: A Population‐Based Cohort Study in England. Journal of Foot and Ankle Research, 18(2), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1002/jfa2.70046

Background: In the United Kingdom, foot and ankle problems in children and young people are typically seen by the general practitioner in primary care and referred to secondary care or community services for specialist assessment and intervention. Fo... Read More about Primary Care and Linked Secondary Care Encounters for Foot and Ankle Problems in Children and Young People: A Population‐Based Cohort Study in England.

Predicting prolonged work absence due to musculoskeletal disorders: development, validation, and clinical usefulness of prognostic prediction models. (2025)
Journal Article
Rysstad, T., Grotle, M., Traeger, A. C., Aasdahl, L., Vigdal, Ø. N., Aanesen, F., Øiestad, B. E., Pripp, A. H., Wynne-Jones, G., Dunn, K. M., Fors, E. A., Linton, S. J., & Tveter, A. T. (2025). Predicting prolonged work absence due to musculoskeletal disorders: development, validation, and clinical usefulness of prognostic prediction models. International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00420-025-02129-8

Given the lack of robust prognostic models for early identification of individuals at risk of work disability, this study aimed to develop and externally validate three models for prolonged work absence among individuals on sick leave due to musculos... Read More about Predicting prolonged work absence due to musculoskeletal disorders: development, validation, and clinical usefulness of prognostic prediction models..

CHARACTERISTICS OF SCIATICA PATIENTS LISTED FOR A SPINAL EPIDURAL STEROID INJECTION AND CLINICAL OUTCOMES: RESULTS FROM THE POISE COHORT STUDY (2024)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Stynes, S., Daud, N., Cherrington, A., Snell, K., Konstantinou, K., O'Dowd, J., Ostelo, R., Dunn, K., & Foster, N. (2024, June). CHARACTERISTICS OF SCIATICA PATIENTS LISTED FOR A SPINAL EPIDURAL STEROID INJECTION AND CLINICAL OUTCOMES: RESULTS FROM THE POISE COHORT STUDY. Presented at The Society for Back Pain Research (SBPR) 2024 Annual General Meeting: “Innovation in Research and Management of Spine Pain”, Aberdeen, Scotland

BackgroundClinical guidelines recommend epidural steroid injection (ESI) for severe sciatica but there is uncertainty of effectiveness. The POiSE study aims to identify factors, routinely collected in clinical practice that predict outcome in patient... Read More about CHARACTERISTICS OF SCIATICA PATIENTS LISTED FOR A SPINAL EPIDURAL STEROID INJECTION AND CLINICAL OUTCOMES: RESULTS FROM THE POISE COHORT STUDY.

Stratified health care for low back pain using the STarT Back approach: Holy Grail or doomed to fail? (2024)
Journal Article
Croft, P., Hill, J. C., Foster, N. E., Dunn, K. M., & van der Windt, D. A. (2024). Stratified health care for low back pain using the STarT Back approach: Holy Grail or doomed to fail?. PAIN, https://doi.org/10.1097/j.pain.0000000000003319

There have been at least 7 separate randomised controlled trials published between 2011 and 2023 that have examined primary care for nonspecific low back pain informed by the STarT Back approach to stratified care based on risk prediction, compared w... Read More about Stratified health care for low back pain using the STarT Back approach: Holy Grail or doomed to fail?.

Musculoskeletal Health and Work: Development and Internal–External Cross-Validation of a Model to Predict Risk of Work Absence and Presenteeism in People Seeking Primary Healthcare (2024)
Journal Article
Archer, L., Peat, G., Snell, K. I. E., Hill, J. C., Dunn, K. M., Foster, N. E., Bishop, A., van der Windt, D., & Wynne-Jones, G. (2024). Musculoskeletal Health and Work: Development and Internal–External Cross-Validation of a Model to Predict Risk of Work Absence and Presenteeism in People Seeking Primary Healthcare. Journal of Occupational Rehabilitation, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10926-024-10223-w

Purpose
To develop and validate prediction models for the risk of future work absence and level of presenteeism, in adults seeking primary healthcare with musculoskeletal disorders (MSD).

Methods
Six studies from the West-Midlands/Northwest regi... Read More about Musculoskeletal Health and Work: Development and Internal–External Cross-Validation of a Model to Predict Risk of Work Absence and Presenteeism in People Seeking Primary Healthcare.

Management of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people with mental health or neurodivergent comorbidity (CLIMB Study) (2024)
Presentation / Conference
Jenkinson, D., Bailey, J., Mughal, F., Dunn, K., & Mason, K. (2024, July). Management of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people with mental health or neurodivergent comorbidity (CLIMB Study). Presented at SAPC ASM 2024, Bristol

SNOMED Clinical terminology and Clinical Practice Record Datalink (CPRD) AURUM dataset code lists from the CLIMB Study:

The aim of the CLIMB study is to investigate whether children and young people (aged 8-18 years) with musculoskeletal pain are... Read More about Management of musculoskeletal pain in children and young people with mental health or neurodivergent comorbidity (CLIMB Study).

P051 Trends in consultations for musculoskeletal pain in children and young people presenting to United Kingdom primary care: an electronic health record study (2024)
Presentation / Conference Contribution
Mason, K. J., Jordan, K. P., Bailey, J., Jöud, A., Jowett, S., Protheroe, J., Mughal, F., Snell, K. I. E., Thomas, M., & Dunn, K. M. (2024, April). P051 Trends in consultations for musculoskeletal pain in children and young people presenting to United Kingdom primary care: an electronic health record study. Poster presented at British Society for Rheumatology Annual Conference 2024

Background/Aims
Musculoskeletal pain in childhood increases the risk of such pain in adulthood but there is an absence of management guidance for this group, not helped by a lack of evidence on the extent and nature of pain in children. The aim was... Read More about P051 Trends in consultations for musculoskeletal pain in children and young people presenting to United Kingdom primary care: an electronic health record study.

Cost-utility analysis of risk-based stratified primary care for common musculoskeletal pain presentations: a cluster-randomised, controlled trial (2024)
Preprint / Working Paper
Kigozi, J., Hill, J. C., Bromley, K., Lewis, M., Wathall, S., Chudyk, A., Dunn, K. M., Foster, N. E., & Jowett, S. Cost-utility analysis of risk-based stratified primary care for common musculoskeletal pain presentations: a cluster-randomised, controlled trial

Background
Risk-based stratified care (SC) has demonstrated cost-effectiveness versus usual primary care for non-specific low back pain. The STarT MSK trial investigated the cost-effectiveness of risk-based stratified care versus non-stratified usua... Read More about Cost-utility analysis of risk-based stratified primary care for common musculoskeletal pain presentations: a cluster-randomised, controlled trial.

Addressing Child and Adolescent Musculoskeletal Pain: the CAM-Pain Programme - Code Lists (2023)
Data
Jordan, K., Mason, K., Bailey, J., Protheroe, J., Mughal, F., Thomas, M., Jöud, A., Jowett, S., Snell, K., & Dunn, K. (2023). Addressing Child and Adolescent Musculoskeletal Pain: the CAM-Pain Programme - Code Lists. [Data]

SNOMED Clinical terminology and Clinical Practice Record Datalink (CPRD) AURUM dataset code lists from CAM-Pain programme 2023:

The aim of the CAM-Pain programme is to improve the understanding, self-management, impact and healthcare of musculoske... Read More about Addressing Child and Adolescent Musculoskeletal Pain: the CAM-Pain Programme - Code Lists.

Prognosis of Patients With Neuropathic Low Back-Related Leg Pain: An Exploratory Study Using Prospective Data From UK Primary Care (2023)
Journal Article
Harrisson, S. A., Ogollah, R., Dunn, K. M., Foster, N. E., & Konstantinou, K. (2024). Prognosis of Patients With Neuropathic Low Back-Related Leg Pain: An Exploratory Study Using Prospective Data From UK Primary Care. The Journal of Pain, 25(2), 533-544. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpain.2023.09.016

This prospective cohort study investigates the prognosis of patients with neuropathic low back-related leg pain (LBLP) consulting in UK primary care. Data from 511 patients were collected using standardised baseline clinical examinations (including M... Read More about Prognosis of Patients With Neuropathic Low Back-Related Leg Pain: An Exploratory Study Using Prospective Data From UK Primary Care.

Development and External Validation of Individualized Prediction Models for Pain Intensity Outcomes in Patients With Neck Pain, Low Back Pain, or Both in Primary Care Settings (2023)
Journal Article
Archer, L., Snell, K. I. E., Stynes, S., Axén, I., Dunn, K. M., Foster, N. E., Wynne-Jones, G., van der Windt, D. A., & Hill, J. C. (in press). Development and External Validation of Individualized Prediction Models for Pain Intensity Outcomes in Patients With Neck Pain, Low Back Pain, or Both in Primary Care Settings. Physical Therapy, 103(11), Article pzad128. https://doi.org/10.1093/ptj/pzad128

Objective
The purpose of this study was to develop and externally validate multivariable prediction models for future pain intensity outcomes to inform targeted interventions for patients with neck or low back pain in primary care settings.

Metho... Read More about Development and External Validation of Individualized Prediction Models for Pain Intensity Outcomes in Patients With Neck Pain, Low Back Pain, or Both in Primary Care Settings.

Stratified primary care for adults with musculoskeletal pain: the STarT MSK research programme including RCTs (2023)
Journal Article
E Foster, N., M Dunn, K., Protheroe, J., C Hill, J., Lewis, M., Saunders, B., Jowett, S., Hennings, S., Campbell, P., Bromley, K., Bartlam, B., Babatunde, O., Wathall, S., Oppong, R., Kigozi, J., & Chudyk, A. (in press). Stratified primary care for adults with musculoskeletal pain: the STarT MSK research programme including RCTs. Health Technology Assessment, 11(4), 1-103. https://doi.org/10.3310/FBVX4177

Background Usual primary care for patients with musculoskeletal pain varies widely and treatment outcomes are suboptimal. Stratified care involves targeting treatments according to patient subgroups, in the hope of maximising treatment benefit and re... Read More about Stratified primary care for adults with musculoskeletal pain: the STarT MSK research programme including RCTs.

Are childhood factors predictive of adult health literacy? A longitudinal birth cohort analysis (2023)
Journal Article
Solis-Trapala, I., Campbell, P., Lacey, R., Rowlands, G., Dunn, K., & Protheroe, J. (2023). Are childhood factors predictive of adult health literacy? A longitudinal birth cohort analysis. SSM - Population Health, 13, Article 101426. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmph.2023.101426

Health literacy (HL), defined as the ability of an individual to understand and appraise health information to make informed decisions on their health, helps maintain and improve one's health and thus reduce the use of healthcare services. There is a... Read More about Are childhood factors predictive of adult health literacy? A longitudinal birth cohort analysis.

Symptom patterns and life with post-acute COVID-19 in children aged 8-17: a mixed methods studyprotocol. (2023)
Journal Article
Faux-Nightingale, A., Burton, C., Twohig, H., Bucknall, M., Carroll, W., Chew-Graham, C., Dunn, K., Gilchrist, F., Helliwell, T., Lawton, O., Lawton, S., Mallen, C., Saunders, B., Van Der Windt, D., & Welsh, V. (2023). Symptom patterns and life with post-acute COVID-19 in children aged 8-17: a mixed methods studyprotocol. British Journal of General Practice Open (BJGP Open), 7(2), Article BJGPO20220149. https://doi.org/10.3399/bjgpo.2022.0149

Background: While there is a substantial body of knowledge about acute COVID-19, less is known about long-COVID, where symptoms continue beyond 4 weeks.

Aim: To describe longer-term effects of COVID-19 infection in children and young people (CYP)... Read More about Symptom patterns and life with post-acute COVID-19 in children aged 8-17: a mixed methods studyprotocol..

Overall prognosis of acute and chronic musculoskeletal, widespread, and neuropathic pain in children and adolescents (2023)
Journal Article
Dunn, K., Montgomery, L. R., Andreucci, A., Kamper, S. J., van der Windt, D., Michaleff, Z. A., Swain, M., Williams, C. M., Campbell, P., Dario, A., Montgomery, L., Kamper, S., van der Windt, D. A., Michaleff, Z., Dunn, K. M., Williams, C., & Swain, M. S. (2023). Overall prognosis of acute and chronic musculoskeletal, widespread, and neuropathic pain in children and adolescents. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2023(2), https://doi.org/10.1002/14651858.cd014773

Objectives
This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (prognosis). The objectives are as follows:

We aim to describe the overall prognosis (focusing on the pain course) and the negative impact(s) of acute and chronic musculoskeletal, widespread, an... Read More about Overall prognosis of acute and chronic musculoskeletal, widespread, and neuropathic pain in children and adolescents.

Comparison of healthcare utilisation, costs and health-related quality of life across the subgroups defined by the Keele STarT MSK Tool (2022)
Journal Article
Oppong, R., Lewis, A., Campbell, P., Dunn, K., Foster, N., Hill, J., & Jowett, S. (2022). Comparison of healthcare utilisation, costs and health-related quality of life across the subgroups defined by the Keele STarT MSK Tool. Rheumatology, https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/keac560

Objectives: The aim of this study was to describe and compare health economic outcomes (healthcare utilisation, costs, work outcomes and health-related quality of life (EQ-5D-5L)) in patients classified into different risk subgroups by the Keele STar... Read More about Comparison of healthcare utilisation, costs and health-related quality of life across the subgroups defined by the Keele STarT MSK Tool.

Identification and characterisation of trajectories of sickness absence due to musculoskeletal pain: a 1-year population-based study Tarjei Rysstad1; Margreth Grotle1, 2; Lene Aasdahl3, 4; Kate M. Dunn5; Anne Therese Tveter1 (2022)
Journal Article
Dunn. (2022). Identification and characterisation of trajectories of sickness absence due to musculoskeletal pain: a 1-year population-based study Tarjei Rysstad1; Margreth Grotle1, 2; Lene Aasdahl3, 4; Kate M. Dunn5; Anne Therese Tveter1. Journal of Occupational Rehabilitation, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10926-022-10070-7

Purpose This study aimed to identify trajectories of sickness absence in workers on sick leave due to musculoskeletal disorders and explore the association between these trajectories and established prognostic factors for sickness absence. Methods We... Read More about Identification and characterisation of trajectories of sickness absence due to musculoskeletal pain: a 1-year population-based study Tarjei Rysstad1; Margreth Grotle1, 2; Lene Aasdahl3, 4; Kate M. Dunn5; Anne Therese Tveter1.